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Competition and efficiency of commercial banks: Empirical Evidence from Nigeria

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https://www.eduzhai.net/ American Journal of Economics 2014, 4(1): 18-22 DOI: 10.5923/j.economics.20140401.02 Competition and Efficiency of Commercial Banks: An Empirical Evidence from Nigeria R. A. Ajisafe*, A. E. Akinlo Department of Economics, Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile-Ife, 220005, Nigeria Abstract The study examined the relationship between competition and efficiency of commercial banks in Nigerian for the period 1990 to 2009. Secondary data were sourced from the annual reports and statement of accounts of fifteen commercial banks in Nigeria which were purposively selected for the study. The data collected were analysed using pooled least square and dynamic panel generalised method of moment estimation technique with fixed effect. The results of the analysis showed that there was a positive and significant relationship between the degree of competition and the level of efficiency of commercial banks in Nigeria with a t-value of 2.45 and p-value < 0.05. The study concluded that the reforms introduced in the banking sector in the late 80’s, raised the degree of competition and improved the level of efficiency of the Nigerian commercial banks. Keywords Banking, Competition, Efficiency, Dynamic Panel GMM 1. Introduction The role of banks in the economic development of any nation has been discussed extensively in the literature. Schumpeter (1934) argues that financial institutions are necessary for economic development[1]. This view is supported by Goldsmith (1969)[2], Cameron et al. (1972)[3], Ikhide (1982)[4], Odedokun (1996)[5], to mention a few. Banks in both developed and developing countries assist in channeling resources from surplus to deficit economic units. They help in ensuring efficient payment systems and serves as conduit for the implementation of monetary policies[6]. The financial intermediation function of bank entails creation of money or deposit. This deposit creation has led to keener competition amongst commercial banks for funds particularly in the unbanked market. Asides, since early 1990s substantial reforms have been introduced into the banking sector to examine the impact of competition on efficiency. Competition and efficiency of commercial banks have been discussed extensively in the literature in the developed countries (U.S. and European nations), but there is dearth of literature on the relationship between them in the less developed countries particularly in Nigeria. Empirical studies from the European banking find mixed results. Fecher and Pestieau, 1993[7], Lang, 1996[8], Podpiera, Weill and Schobert, 2007[9], Weill, 2003[10] * Corresponding author: rajisafe@oauife.edu.ng (R. A. Ajisafe) Published online at https://www.eduzhai.net Copyright © 2014 Scientific & Academic Publishing. All Rights Reserved support negative relationship while Goldberg and Rai, 1996 [11], Punt and Van Rooij, 2003[12], Casu and Girardone, 2007[13], support positive relationship. Also the relationship between competition and efficiency of banks has not been ascertained in Nigeria; hence the need for this study. In the remaining part of this paper, Section 2 reviews the literature on competition and efficiency, Section 3 discusses the methodology while Section 4 contained the empirical results and Section 5 concludes the study. 2. Literature Review Theoretically, it is argued that competition and efficiency in the banking industry is based on the classical industrial organisation theory called the Structure-ConductPerformance (SCP) paradigm. The theory assumes that, there is a causal relationship running from the structure of the market to the firm’s pricing behaviour, to the firm’s profit and the degree of market power. The theory predicts a positive relationship between concentration and profits. Empirically, Vittas and Neal (1992)[14], examined the trends in competition and efficiency in Hungarian banking. They also assessed the performance of Hungarian bank and noted the tremendous progress that were made in expanding the number of competing banks, strengthening the legal and regulatory framework, increasing the banks’ managerial autonomy and promoting development of the private sector. Vittas and Neal noted that effective competition was constrained by the segmentation of the market. The entry of new banks – joint venture banks – has a clear impact on market shares, but competition appears to be more effective in increasing the range of services than in lowering bank American Journal of Economics 2014, 4(1): 18-22 19 spreads. The impact of foreign banks would be greater if they were allowed to open branches or at least to establish fully owned subsidiaries. The drawback of this study is the use of operating ratios which provide a rough indication of bank efficiency. Casu and Girardone (2006)[15], examined recent developments in competition, concentration and bank efficiency levels in the single European market. Also, they investigated the relationship between competition and efficiency in banking markets using bank level balance sheet data for commercial banks in the major EU banking markets. Causality test between competition and efficiency was performed using dynamic panel data methods. The results of the analysis suggested that negative relationship (causation) exists between efficiency and competition, whereas, the causality running from competition to efficiency is weak though it is positive. In summary, the results suggested that the degree of concentration is not necessarily related to the degree of competition. Based on the above results, there is the need for further empirical analysis in this area. Podpiera (2007)[16], investigated the relationship between competition and efficiency in the Czech Republic between 1994 and 2005 using the Granger-causality test. The result of the study showed absence of increased competition in the Czech banking market between 1994 and 2005. The result seems surprising as one would have expected that the massive entry of foreign investor into the Czech banking industry would enhance the degree of banking competition. Furthermore, the result of the causality test showed that competition has negative effect on cost efficiency in the Czech banking sector. This finding supports part of the literature that increased competition leads to greater monitoring costs for banks and a reduction of the length of the customer relationship between the bank and the borrower which reduces efficiency. [9], argued that a higher degree of banking competition is a major issue for economic development and it is expected to provide welfare gains by reducing monopoly power of banks and cost inefficiencies, favoring the reduction of loan rates and investment. These expected gains are a major issue for transition countries in which bank credit represents the largest source of external finance for companies. The study used quarterly data for Czech banks, in order to provide evidence on the effects of banking competition on efficiency in the Czech Republic. On the empirical analysis, the study investigated the relationship and the causality between competition and efficiency. The result of the analysis provided a negative relationship between competition and efficiency. Also the causality test showed that causality runs from both directions. This has a major implication on the financial sector of the economy. This is because greater competition may hamper cost efficiency of banks which could result in higher rates and could lead to financial instability. In their conclusion, the results of the analysis rejected the intuitive ‘quiet life’ hypothesis and indicated a negative relationship between competition and efficiency in banking. [10], investigated the relationship between competition and efficiency in banking on a sample of 12 EU countries during the period 1994-1999 and measured competition by the Rosse-Panzar H-Statistic, while efficiency was estimated using stochastic frontier approach. The study concluded that a negative relationship existed between competition and efficiency in banking, thus failing to corroborate the intuitive positive effect of competition on efficiency. Carlson and Mitchener (2006)[17], studied branch banking, bank competition and financial stability and was of the opinion that the expansion of statewide branch banking induced greater competition in states where it was permitted and improved the stability of their banking systems by removing weak and inefficient banks. The results of their empirical findings were largely consistent with recent literature. Buchs and Mathisen (2005)[18], assessed the degree of bank competition and discussed efficiency with regard to banks’ financial intermediation in Ghana. In the study they applied panel data to variables derived from a theoretical model and find support for the presence of a noncompetitive market structure in the Ghanaian banking system, possibly hampering financial intermediation. The economic costs of the noncompetitive behaviour might have been exacerbated by the persisting domestic financing needs of the government, making it captive to the banks’ behaviour and fostering inefficiency in the banking system. Also, large deficit financing through the issuance of treasury bills has not only crowded out the private sector in capturing banks investments, but has also put pressure on interest rates, thereby making access to bank lending even more difficult for the private sector thus hampering private sector development. Therefore, further private sector development appears to be very much dependent upon sound fiscal adjustment, and the possible link between fiscal policy and the efficiency of the banking system should deserve further attention. The result of the study further indicated that consolidation of the Ghanaian banking sector is expected due to scale matters. Furthermore, barrier to competition on interest revenue is an indication that competition is stifled in the Ghanaian banking system. This could be as a result of the non transparent fee structure of the banks which help to shield the bank market structure from competition. Following from here, there is the need for further study in the area of competition and efficiency in the banking industry. Sunil and Binsheng (2011)[19], investigated the impact of financial reforms on competitiveness and production efficiency of the banking sector, as well as the short-term and long-term impact on economic growth, in Egypt during 1992–2007. The results of the study suggested that reforms have a positive and significant effect on competitiveness and production efficiency. Also, the evidence shows that state-owned banks are generally less competitive than private banks and foreign banks are less competitive than domestic banks. The average x-inefficiency of Egyptian banks is around 30 per cent, which is comparable to those 20 R. A. Ajisafe et al.: Competition and Efficiency of Commercial Banks: An Empirical Evidence from Nigeria reported for other African countries. Finally, there is evidence to suggest a significant relationship between financial bank productive efficiency and economic growth in the short run but not in the long run. Overall, the results support the argument for continuing the financial sector reform programme in Egypt. Simpasa (2011)[20], analysed the competitive nature of the Tanzanian banking industry from 2004 to 2008. Utilizing a rich bank level data set, the study employed the Panzar–Rosse methodology to compute the competitive index, taking into account risk, efficiency, regulatory and macroeconomic factors. The results showed that banks in Tanzania earned their income under conditions of oligopolistic conduct. Moreover, the competitive index derived from an interest revenue equation was not significantly different from that obtained using an aggregate revenue measure. This suggests that the degree of contestability from traditional intermediation activities approximates overall bank behaviour. The overall message is that greater market contestability can be achieved by adopting measures aimed at stimulating competitiveness in the banking sector, including consolidating gains on the macroeconomic front and allowing more foreign bank entry so as to increase the spread of banking services. Zhao and Murinde (2011)[21], investigated the interrelationships among bank competition, risk taking and efficiency during banking sector reforms in Nigeria (1993–2008). In the study, three stages were involved in the modeling procedure. In the first stage, the study measure bank productive efficiency, using data envelopment analysis, and the evolution of bank competition, using conjectural variations (CV) methods; the second stage involve using the CV estimates to test whether regulatory reforms influence bank competition; and the third stage investigated the impact of the reforms on bank behaviour. The evidence suggested that deregulation and prudential regulation influence bank risk taking and bank productive efficiency directly (direct impact) and via competition (indirect impact). Furthermore, it is found that as competition increases, excessive risk taking decreases and efficiency increases. Overall, the evidence on Nigeria affirms policies that foster bank competition. Somoye (2008)[22], examined the performances of government induced banks consolidation and macroeconomic performance in Nigeria in a post-consolidation period. The paper analysed the data obtained from published audited accounts of twenty (20) out of twenty-five (25) banks that emerged from the consolidation exercise and data from the Central Banks of Nigeria (CBN). The analysis revealed that the consolidation programme has not improved the overall performances of banks significantly and also has contributed marginally to the growth of the real sector for sustainable development. The study concluded that banking sector is becoming competitive and market forces are creating an atmosphere where many banks simply cannot afford to have weak balance sheets and inadequate corporate governance. The study further posited that consolidation of banks may not necessarily be a sufficient tool for financial stability for sustainable development and this confirms the study by Megginson (2005) and Somoye (2006). It then recommended that bank consolidation in the financial market must be market driven to allow for efficiency in the sector. Also, the study recommended that researchers should begin to develop a new framework for financial market stability as opposed to banking consolidation policy. Brownbridge (1996)[23], studied the impact of public policy on the banking system in Nigeria. The study concentrated on the commercial and merchant banks which together accounted for 85 percent of the total assets of the financial institutions in Nigeria, excluding those held by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). The study concluded that government controls on financial markets, public ownership of banks and the neglect of prudential regulation, had detrimental effects on the banking system, especially in terms of the quality of banks’ loan portfolios, efficiency and competition. Also, the efficacy of financial liberalisation and other financial sector reforms to enhance the efficiency of intermediation in the banking markets has been limited, which left large sections of the banking industry in financial distress. Some of the reforms introduced were inappropriately sequenced and others were not implemented in a consistent manner. 3. Methodology In order to examine the relationship between the degree of competition and the level of efficiency of commercial banks in Nigeria, the study employed the data for the period 1990 – 2009. The data were obtained from the annual report and statement of accounts of fifteen commercial banks in Nigeria. In analysing the model for the study, pooled least square estimate and Panel Generalised Method of Moment (GMM) were used. The model for the study is as specified: ROA= f(INTERM, TA, NPL, EQ)……................1 where: ROA is the return on asset and a proxy for efficiency variable INTERM is the intermediation ratio and a proxy for competition variable TA represents total asset of the banks NPL represents non performing loans of the banks EQ represents the total equity of the banks All the variables used in the model are in their log form in other to bring the variables to the same level. A priori, it is expected that the intermediation ratio, total equity of the banks, total assets of the banks will be positively related to return on asset, while non-performing loan will possess a negative relationship. Several studies have used the value of H-statistic as a measure of competition in regression analysis to determine its effect on efficiency[9, 10, 24], but in this study H-statistic could not be used because, its value could not be determined American Journal of Economics 2014, 4(1): 18-22 21 on yearly basis due to the problem of data availability. As a result of this, we use a proxy for the degree of competition. To proxy the structure of the banking system, which is a measure of the degree of competition, we use the intermediation ratio measured by the ratio of total loans to total deposits[10, 13]. Other variables included in the model are total assets (Bank size), Equity of the banks and non-performing loan. Each of the variables is expected to influence the level of efficiency of the commercial banks in Nigeria. 4. Empirical Results The results obtained from the pooled least square estimate with fixed effect revealed that intermediation ratio is statistically significant with a value of 2.4512 at 5% level of significance (see table 1). This conforms to a priori expectation because, this ratio is expected to have a positive relationship on the level of efficiency as higher ratio will lower the quantity of deposits needed to produce loans. This in essence implies that banks with more deposit have the capacity to give out more loans to their customers which will increase the level of competition among the banks and invariably leads to increased efficiency. This result is in contrast with the negative relationship between competition and efficiency in the EU Banking Sector[10] though a priori, the expected relationship is positive. Also, the higher the deposit generated by the banking sector, the more loan that will be available to lend out to the customers. Table 1. Pooled Least Square Estimate of the Result on Competition and Efficiency (1990 – 2009) Variable C INTERM TA NPL EQ Coefficient -0.6564 0.1639 -0.1768 -5.09E-066 0.1117 t-statistic -1.816*** 2.4512** -2.6380* -1.1793 1.8585*** *, **, *** Statistically significant at 1%, 5% and 10% respectively R2 = 0.2203 F-statistic = 3.7989 (0.0000) Durbin-Watson = 1.5424 Other variables in the model are significant with the exception of non-performing loan which is negatively insignificant with a value of -1.1793. This is expected because non performing loan will reduce the profitability of the banking industry as part of the profit of the firm will be set aside as a provision for such loan. Our result equally shows that the R2 obtained from the estimated model is very low with a value of 0.22. This is because the proportion of variance that cannot be explained is usually higher in a cross section analysis than in time series analysis. Also, cross sectional studies consist of a number of different (heterogeneous) objects of investigation unlike time series data where only object of investigation is considered over a given period of time (Resinger 1977)[25]. The F-statistic which measures the overall significance of the model shows that the model is statistically significant at 1%. Also, the Durbin Watson statistic did not show any evidence of auto correction in the model as the value is close to 2. To check for the robustness of the pooled least square estimate, the model was further estimated using the Panel Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) approach. The result of the Panel Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimate for the period 1990-2009 is presented in table 2. The lagged dependent variable is positive and statistically significant at 1% with a value of 3.5430 and a p-value of 0.0005. This in essence means that the level of efficiency of the banking industry in the previous period will definitely impact on the level of efficiency in the current period. The intermediation ratio which is a measure of competition in this study has positive relationship with the level of efficiency, meaning that increased competition in the sector will improve the level of efficiency in the industry. This supports the view that contestability determines effective competition which invariably influences efficiency (Classens and Leaven)[26]. The variable total asset (TA) follows the same pattern with the result in the Pooled Least Square estimate. The variable is statistically significant but shows negative relationship with the level of efficiency. That is 1% increase in total asset will reduce the level of efficiency by 0.24%. This may be as a result of the dominance of five largest banks which controls about 45 percent of the total assets or the ten largest banks which controls over 72 percent of the total assets of the Nigerian banks. Also, this level of control might have significantly reduced the degree of competition in the sector which invariably led to low level of efficiency. Another reason may equally be related to the mismanagement of fund by the managers and directors of the bank (ownership structure), government policy changes, among others. Table 2. Panel Generalised Method of Moment with Fixed Effect (1990 – 2009) Variables ROA(-1) TA INTERM EQ NPL Coefficient 0.2312 -0.2419 0.1401 0.1405 1.67E-09 t-statistic 3.5430* -1.3191 2.1584** 1.1239 0.0696 *, ** Significant at 1% and 5% respectively J-statistic = 12.4468 Instrument rank = 15 Furthermore to test for the validity of the instrument used, we examine the value of the “J-statistic” and “instrument rank” of the Panel Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimate. Since the instrument rank (15) is greater than the number of estimated coefficients (5), the Sargan test of over identifying restrictions was computed using “scalar Pval @ Chisq. (J-statistic, k - p)” with a value of 0.2563. From this computation the null hypothesis of over identifying restrictions are valid. Essentially, the results showed that competition is positively related to efficiency and statistically significant 22 R. A. Ajisafe et al.: Competition and Efficiency of Commercial Banks: An Empirical Evidence from Nigeria during the sample period. As competition increases, the level of profitability of the banks also increases which translates to the increase in the level of efficiency of the banks. Also, the acquisition of the inefficient banks by the efficient ones has led to increased efficiency in the banking sub sector. [11] Goldberg and Rai (1996), “The Structure-performance Rela-tionship in European Banking”. Journal of Banking and Finance, 20, 745 – 771. [12] Punt, L. and Van Rooij, M. (2003), “The Profit-Structure Relationship and Mergers in the European Banking Industry: An Empirical Assessment”. Kredit and Kapital 36, 1 – 29. 5. Conclusions The paper examined the relationship between competition and efficiency in the Nigerian banking sub sector for the period 1990 – 2009. Based on the data obtained from fifteen commercial banks in Nigeria, the specified model was estimated using both pooled least squares and Panel Generalised Method of Moments (GMM). The results revealed that competition in the Nigerian banking sector positively influenced the level of efficiency. [13] Casu, B. and Girardone, C. (2007) “Does Competition Leads to Efficiency? The case of EU Commercial Banks”. Discussion Paper, Essex Finance Centre. No 07-01. [14] Vittas, D. and Neal Craig (1992), Competition and Efficiency in Hungarian Banking” Policy Research Working Papers, Financial Policy and Systems. October. [15] Casu, B. and Girardone, C. (2006) “Bank Competition, Concentration and Efficiency in the Single European Market”. The Manchester School, 74(4), pp. 441-468. [16] Podpiera, A. (2007), “Competition and Efficiency in the Czech Banking Sector”, CNB working Paper, pp. 86 – 93. REFERENCES [1] Shumpeter, J. A. (1934), The Theory of Economic Development. Cambridge, Harvard, University Press. [2] Goldsmith, R. W. (1969), Financial Structure and Development. New Haven and London, Yale UniversityPress, PP. 402 – 403. [3] Cameron, R.(1972), Banking and Economic Development: Some Lessons of History. New York, Oxford University Press. [4] Ikhide, S. I. (1982), “Financial Development in Nigeria (1959 – 1978)”. An Unpublished M.sc. Thesis, University of Ife. [5] Odedokun, M. O. (1996), “An Empirical Explanation of the size of the Banking Sector in the Developing Countries”. Journal of Interdisciplinary Economics. Vol. 5. [6] Fry, M. J. (1989), Money, Interest, and Banking in Economic Development, John Hopkins Press Limited. [7] Fecher, F. and Pestieau, P. (1993), “Efficiency and Competition in OECD Financial Services”, in The Measurement of Productive Efficiency; Techniques and Applications (Editors: H. Fried, C.A.K. Lovell, P. Schmidt), Oxford University Press, PP. 374 – 385. [8] Lang, G. (1996), “Efficiency, Profitability and Competition”. IFO Studien 4, 537 – 561. [9] Weill, L. Pruteanu-Podpiera, A. and Schobert, F. (2008), “Banking Competition and Efficiency: A Micro-Data Analysis on the Czech Banking Industry”, Comparative Economic Studies, Vol, 50, No. 2, pp. 253 – 273, February. [10] Weill, L. (2003), “On the Relationship between Competition and Efficiency in the EU Banking Sectors”, Kredit und Kapital, vol. 37, No 3, pp. 329-352, November. [17] Carlson, M. and Mitchener, K. J. (2006), “Branch Banking, Bank Competition and Financial Stability”. Journal of Money Credit and banking, Vol. 38, No. 5, August, PP. 1293 -1328. [18] Buchs T. and Mathisen J. (2005) “Competition and Efficiency in Banking: Behavioural and Evidence from Ghana” International Monetary Fund, IMF Working paper, WP/05/17, January. [19] Sunil, S. P. and Binsheng, Q. (2011) “Competitiveness and Efficiency of the Banking Sector and Economic Growth in Egypt”. African Development Review, Vol. 23, No. 1, March, pp. 99 – 120. [20] Simpasa, A. M. (2011) “Competitive Conditions in the Tanzania Commercial Banking industry”. “African Development Review”, Vol. 23, No. 1, pp. 88 – 98. [21] Zhao, T. and Murinde, V. (2011), “Bank Deregulation and Performance in Nigeria”. African Development Review, Vol. 23, No 1, March. PP. 30 – 43. [22] Somoye, R. C. (2008), “The Performances of Commercial Banks in Post Consolidation period in Nigeria: An Empirical Review. European Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Sciences. ISSN 1450 – 2275, Issue 14. [23] Usman, S. (2005), “Banking Consolidation in Nigeria” Paper presented at the Economics Students’ Forum of the University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Monday 24th January. [24] Ajisafe, R. A. and Akinlo, A. E. (2013) “Testing for competition in the Nigerian commercial banking sector”, Modern Economy, 4, 501 – 511, July. [25] Reisinger, H. (1997), “The impact of research designs on R Squared in linear regression models: An exploratory meta-analysis.” Journal of Empirical Generalisations in Marketing Science, vol. 2. [26] Claessens, S. and Laeven, L, (2004), “What Drives Bank Competition? Some International Evidence” Journal of Money Credit and Banking, Vol.36, No 3, June, pp.563-583.

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